Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle, R-Syracuse, and Democratic challenger Dan Maffei are in a tied race for the central New York seat, a Siena College poll today found.
They both had support of 43 percent of voters, with seven percent for Green Party candidate Ursula Rozum. Six percent were undecided heading into the November elections.
The poll found that likely voters lean more toward the positions of Maffei, who narrowly lost the seat to Buerkle two years ago. Maffei also may be aided by the strong support for President Obama in the district, which covers the city of Syracuse and stretches west to Wayne County.
“In 2010, Buerkle defeated Maffei by less than 700 votes or three-tenths of one percent,” Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said in a statement. “This year’s rematch between the congresswoman and the former congressman looks like it will be another barnburner in a district that is virtually evenly divided between Republicans and Democrats.”
The race is among about eight in New York that are expected to be competitive and that will lure national money as Republicans seek to retain their majority in the House.
In a separate poll today, Siena found that Democratic Rep. Tim Bishop had a 13-percentage point lead over Republican challenger Randy Altschuler in a rematch from two years ago on Long Island. A Siena poll Monday showed Democratic Rep. Bill Owens with a ?? lead over his Republican challenger Matt Doheny.
There was some good news for Buerkle in the poll: She held a nine-percentage-point lead with independent voters.
The poll found that Maffei had support by a two-to-one margin with Syracuse voters over Buerkle, but she has more support in the district outside the city.
Nearly half of likely voters had a favorable view of Maffei, who has a 12-percentage point favorability rating lead, the poll found.
The poll was conducted Sept. 5-10, by telephone calls to 625 likely voters. It had a margin of error of 3.9 percent.